The Fed finds itself at a bit of a crossroads
"In recent months, The Fed has been repeatedly reinforced the point that they need more confidence in terms of the progress on inflation before they take action to cut rates. This viewpoints has raised many concerns among economists and investors. Some economists argue that holding rates too high for too long could jeopardize economic activity, undoing the progress they have made in terms of creating good paying jobs.."
"Sahm, chief economist at New Century Advisors, said the Fed is taking a big risk by not moving now with gradual cuts. As a result, the Fed risks the Sahm Rule kicking in and, with it, a recession that potentially could force policymakers to take more drastic actions.."
"Tracking a recession where the unemployment rate starts this low requires a trip all the way back to the latter part of 1969 into 1970. Moreover, the Fed rarely has cut rates with unemployment at this level. Central bankers in recent days, including on several occasions have said they see inflation moving in the right direction but don’t feel confident enough to start cutting yet.."
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